Research project
Countering Lone Actor Terrorism: Data Collection & Analysis
This project aims to improve understanding of, and responses to, the phenomenon of lone actors through analysis of comprehensive data on cases from across Europe.
- Duration
- 2014 - 2016
- Contact
- Jeanine de Roy van Zuijdewijn
- Funding
- European Union
- Partners
Project Partners:
Royal United Services Institute
Chatham House
Institute for Strategic Dialogue
The Polish Institute of International Affairs
International Centre for Counter-Terrorism – The Hague
Nationaal Coördinator Terrorismebestrijding en Veiligheid
Association of Chief Police Officers
As intelligence agencies and law enforcement have become increasingly adept at detecting and disrupting large-scale terrorist plots, potential attackers have instead turned to smaller scale, less sophisticated assaults. In part, this trend reflects a decision by wider extremist groups to adopt lone actor terrorism as a tactic, with both Daesh and Al Qa’ida in the Arabian Peninsula trying to inspire their supporters to carry out such attacks. In other cases, individuals, dyads or triads judge that a lone actor attack will have greater chance of success, or perhaps lack connections to a wider network. Whatever the case, there is a growing trend of individuals or small cells acting in isolation from a wider group to conduct terrorist activity.
Lone actor terrorists are perceived as presenting acute challenges for law enforcement practitioners in detection and disruption; acting without direct command and control from a wider network, it is assumed that without such communications they may evade the traditional ‘trip-wires’ that would bring them to the attention of the authorities. Through the construction and analysis of a database of 120 perpetrators from across Europe, the project seeks to improve understanding of lone actor terrorists, their behaviour, and their activities in the period leading up to their intended attack, therefore assisting European governments and frontline workers to counter the threat.
Raffaello Pantucci, Clare Ellis and Lorien Chaplais
Edwin Bakker and Jeanine de Roy van Zuijdewijn
Sebastien Feve and Kelsey Bjornsgaard
Clare Ellis, Raffaello Pantucci, Jeanine de Roy van Zuijdewijn, Edwin Bakker, Benoît Gomis, Simon Palombi and Melanie Smith
Lone-Actor Terrorism: Policy Paper 1: Personal Characteristics of Lone-Actor Terrorists
Jeanine de Roy van Zuijdewijn and Edwin Bakker
Lone-Actor Terrorism: Policy Paper 2: Attack Methodology and Logistics
Simon Palombi and Benoît Gomis
Lone-Actor Terrorism Policy Paper 3: Motivations, Political Engagement and Online Activity
Melanie Smith, Sabine Barton and Jonathan Birdwell
Lone-Actor Terrorism Policy Paper 4: ‘Leakage’ and Interaction with Authorities
Clare Ellis and Raffaello Pantucci
Edwin Bakker and Jeanine de Roy van Zuijdewijn
Lone-Actor Terrorism: Toolkit Paper 2: Practical Guidance for Security Practitioners
Clare Ellis and Raffaello Pantucci
Lone-Actor Terrorism: Final Report
Clare Ellis, Raffaello Pantucci, Jeanine de Roy van Zuijdewijn, Edwin Bakker, Benoît Gomis, Simon Palombi and Melanie Smith